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Will this scheme turn out to be a bridge too far after all?



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Published Date: 12 August 2008
NEWS that the Forth Road Bridge might not be in as poor a state as first thought has led to calls from environmentalists to scrap the new crossing planned to replace it. But the pleas seem likely to fall on deaf ears.
While campaigners have been quick to claim slower than anticipated erosion means a replacement crossing is no longer required, plans for the new cable-stayed bridge are likely to stay right on track for the moment.

In December last year, it was an
nounced the scheme – set to be the largest construction project in Scotland in a generation – would go ahead. Environmental surveys and ground investigations are already under way and feasibility studies will be completed soon.

The design for the bridge will be finalised early next year, while construction is expected to start in 2011 and take five-and-a-half years to complete.

The plans include dedicated "high occupancy vehicle" lanes for buses, as well as a central "multimodal" public transport corridor which could be used for light rail, a guided bus system or trams.

Wind shields – similar to those used on the Second Severn Crossing, which has never had to close due to adverse weather conditions in its 12-year history – will be a major feature, ensuring high-sided vehicles, those towing trailers, motorcycles and bikes no longer need to take the 40-mile diversion via Kincardine when the winds reach 50mph.

However, as the picture of how the new bridge would look emerges, engineers have not given up on saving the old one. Experts had previously warned that the Forth Road Bridge may have to be closed to lorries by 2014 and to all vehicles by 2019 because of the weakening of the cables which hold it up – but it now appears these were rather pessimistic estimations.

In February this year, the project to save the Forth Road Bridge's corroding cables took a significant step forward when the Forth Estuary Transport Authority (FETA) switched on the first section of the bridge's new dehumidification system.

Dry air is now being pumped through about a quarter of the total length of the bridge's two main suspension cables. The aim is to prevent further corrosion occurring by reducing the relative humidity within the cables to below 40 per cent.

New inspection findings indicate that the main suspension cables on the Forth Road Bridge have lost about ten per cent of their strength due to corrosion, but may be deteriorating more slowly than previously feared.

It is thought that the introduction of weight restrictions on the bridge as soon as 2014 will no longer be required.

But in order to properly safeguard the future of the bridge, the cables would need to be completely replaced, or a new cable added above or to the side of the existing main cable. Such an undertaking could mean contraflows and partial closures for up to seven years.

And if efforts to halt the corrosion fail, weight restrictions would probably need to be considered some time between 2017 and 2021. A third inspection will be carried out in 2011-12 to verify the effectiveness of dehumidification operation.

Barry Colford, chief engineer and bridgemaster, says: "The dehumidification works on both cables is scheduled to be completed by the end of 2009 and, although there is no absolute guarantee of the effectiveness of the system, there is a degree of confidence that the deterioration of the cables can be arrested prior to the strength loss reducing to a level where intervention is required.

"The timescale when intervention, in the form of loading restrictions, may be required now extends from 2014 to 2021, and it now appears more likely that the rate of deterioration is predicted to follow the more optimistic line."

Campaigners against the new crossing say this is a strong indication that the existing bridge can be saved.

Critics say the cost of a replacement crossing – estimated at £3.2-£4.2 billion at 2016 prices, including VAT and the extra cost of strengthening and widening the bridge to accommodate public transport options – is too high.

A spokesman for Friends of the Earth Scotland said: "It is clear from the evidence that the impact of a second Forth road bridge in terms of traffic, congestion and greenhouse gas emissions would be unacceptable and would be contrary to government policy.

"The studies commissioned by FETA show that the strength in the existing bridge cable can be retained or added to without excessive traffic impacts.

"To commit up to £4.2bn on an unnecessary bridge is not, in our view, prudent use of public money and would lead to serious environmental consequences."

But mothballing the project at this stage is something the Government cannot risk.

Should further studies conclude that the bridge has a limited life span and cannot be saved, a plan must be in place to replace it. Having no crossing in place at some future date is not an option and work will continue towards this.

However, any firm decision on whether to proceed will be delayed for three years until a more accurate picture emerges.





The full article contains 866 words and appears in Edinburgh Evening News newspaper.
Page 1 of 1

 
1

Joe,

Hawes Brae 12/08/2008 12:11:42
Time now to plan for a tunnel crossing.
2

no more roads,

Edinburgh 12/08/2008 12:33:43
Why did Barry Colford tell campaigners there was a "high degree" of confidence that cable drying would work (Sunday Herald) but now tells the Evening News there is merely "a degree of confidence"? Could it be that the government ordered hi to get on-message, because they are determined to waste £4.2bn on a bridge which engineers are confident they can fix for £10.3m?
3

Man of Reason,

12/08/2008 12:42:26
#2 I don't see that these semantics make much difference - the point is that until there is COMPLETE confidence that cable drying has worked, it would be an irresponsible economic gamble to ditch plans for a new crossing at this stage.

The bridge engineers are telling us they'll have this confirmation in 2011/12 - only then will we be able to make a properly informed decision on this.
4

no more roads,

Edinburgh 12/08/2008 12:50:10
Man of Reason: It's not semantics - it's the difference between spending £4.2bn or !0m of our money! when an engineer says he is "highly confident" you know that he is sure about the technique. That he has now been reigned in by the SNP shows how deluded they are that their misguided transport policies will win them future votes.
Even if cable drying doesnt work, we can replace the cables now for £120m. But you want to waste £4bn. Glad you're not my book keeper!
5

Heretic_,

12/08/2008 12:52:23
#2
Why on earth would the Government be determined to waste £4.2 billion?
You sound like a conspiracy theorist to me.
6

Thomas J,

Dunfermline 12/08/2008 19:37:09
#5 Why on earth would the Government be determined to waste £4.2 billion?

Simple because the people who would make a lot of money from the inflated price of the bridge are the people who are advising the government.

Bankers and construction company directors would love a Sky Bridge rip off x 100.

Read the scathing report from the NAO on the Skye Bridge rip off by the "old boy network in Charlotte Square" that saw the Bank of America make huge profits for no risk.

Why would the Government waste hundreds of millions on the Scottish Parliament that was 10 times over budget?

Big business like big projects at big prices whether we need them or not.

Its called corruption or capitalism depending on your politics.

No conspiracy just a fact of life.



7

Ian down under,

Kawerau 13/08/2008 21:22:57
I remember the pride in Musselburgh when the Forth Road Bridge was built using Brunton's Wire Rope cables. Great for the Scottish economy too. Now that Brunton's is a Tesco supermarket and rubble what would a new bridge mean to Scottish industry. I suppose we could get steel from Ravenscraig...............Ohh I forgot.
It'll be a pricey task now. I bet the steelwortks and wire makers in Asia will be rubbing their hands now.
8

no more roads,

Edinburgh 13/08/2008 23:42:52
Ian: I read in a Feta report that the corrosion had initiated at regular intervals along the wire; these distances were found to correlate with the distance between the spandrels on the drums used to transport the wire. So it seems that the defects were there at the very start of construction.
You are right that local firms will get no preferential contracts; under EU law we are bound to seek tenders from EU member states and can be sued and penalised if found to have awarded contracts unfairly. So it seems everybody gains except Scots taxpayers.
9

TheBridgeTroll,

Stalking Swinney 14/08/2008 10:21:55
They have already indicated the prefab sections from China could save them money. Built in China just like everything else these days. The future of our economy is bleak - though I suppose we can look forward to doing China's minimum wage jobs in time.

I love how wind proofing the new bridge is a full proof protection against the weather. Actually in high winds high siders are only allowed to travel on the central and not the outside lanes which to some degree reduces the bridge to single lanes.

A repair of the existing bridge would require reduction of the carriageway to single lanes and this of course is an impossible disaster.

Will there be more windy days in a 5 year construction period than the required restrictions for repair?

And what of the fact that a tunnel was ruled out because of its prohibitive cost of £4Bn at which point the budget for the bridge was immediately hiked and I have yet to hear any justification why?
10

Ian down under,

Kawerau 14/08/2008 21:39:30
#8 Even if local firms could get preferential contracts there are probably none left who could do this job. However it never fails to amaze me when I watch Megastructures/ Megabuilders on the Discovery Channel that most of the engineers building bridges in China [and there are a lot of these] are British.
We have the ability but it does not seem to get credit at home. The Millau viaduct in France was also British built as was the amazing 300m tall tower hotel in Dubai.
I think our main problem is a lack of visionary politicians.
Great bridges are a source of national pride as well as functional.
I recently visited Sydney where they have an industry of taking people up and over the Harbour Bridge, the tours of 12 go every 5 minutes and it's a fantastic experience. Mind you it was built by Britain too!!!

 

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